On item 3 on the order of AI development, I think I heard that Tesla can/is/will build software simulations of the bot. It would be obvious to put in physics such you give the simulation increasingly difficult tasks, like stand still, walk, pick something up, etc., and let the neural network/simulation do trial and error at software speeds. Add in well defined environments, like a giga-factory, and give the bot more challenging and varied tasks, and the software can do learning via simulations at a potentially staggering rate.
Isn't this akin to how the Go player was developed? It may still be 3rd on the list, but I don't think it will be far behind.
We'll all find out when the Tesla bot makes it debut at the next Tesla AI day this September 30.
Jul 21, 2022·edited Jul 21, 2022Liked by Ash Jafari
One has to wonder who this automation benefits. The goal of automation has been to better humans lives. While in the past you had to have a bigger piece of the pie to be wealthy, industrial output increased productivity such that having a bigger piece of the pie no longer means grabbing someone else’s. With AI working replacing jobs enmasse, what are we humans left to do with. I’d like to know your thoughts on : 1) If jobs don’t provide consumers with wealth to consume AI created products, who are creating these AI products for. 2) Are we creating social problems with AI 3) Will AI replacing jobs create political instabilities, can social outrage be a speedbump to future AI developments
Sounds like a good time for governments to start regulating this and breaking up big tech. I do not see the utility in AI replacing so much work, high level tasks are not going to exponentially increase and thus the current future would appear to align closer to a dystopian future than some utopia. There is so much research around lack of productivity or work and mental illness, boredom, etc... that should steer us away from having the majority of the population unemployed.
Jul 21, 2022·edited Jul 21, 2022Liked by Ash Jafari
Honest and friendly feedback, the last article was so good. I showed a few people because I was so impressed which is something I rarely do. I cringed a little at the headline here (scare tactics, rather than living with AI), especially when the content is pretty important. There are a few websites this month that started monetizing image creation. I would encourage you to explore what is happening and the direction that we are headed in more. Please keep up the good work.
Everyone knows that the 80% is easy and the last 20% is much harder.
AI can probably automate the 80% of a job but it would require a human to finish off the last 20%, in the "African fortune teller" image, you would want a human to fix it up a bit so it doesn't look like three images thrown together, or a software program would need an extra button or small changes made, you would need a person to understand and implement it.
This assumes all creative content (the data training the AI) has been created. Humans will still be the only ones able to create truely new and unique content.
On item 3 on the order of AI development, I think I heard that Tesla can/is/will build software simulations of the bot. It would be obvious to put in physics such you give the simulation increasingly difficult tasks, like stand still, walk, pick something up, etc., and let the neural network/simulation do trial and error at software speeds. Add in well defined environments, like a giga-factory, and give the bot more challenging and varied tasks, and the software can do learning via simulations at a potentially staggering rate.
Isn't this akin to how the Go player was developed? It may still be 3rd on the list, but I don't think it will be far behind.
We'll all find out when the Tesla bot makes it debut at the next Tesla AI day this September 30.
AI will drive down the costs and appeal of anything it creates at scale.
One has to wonder who this automation benefits. The goal of automation has been to better humans lives. While in the past you had to have a bigger piece of the pie to be wealthy, industrial output increased productivity such that having a bigger piece of the pie no longer means grabbing someone else’s. With AI working replacing jobs enmasse, what are we humans left to do with. I’d like to know your thoughts on : 1) If jobs don’t provide consumers with wealth to consume AI created products, who are creating these AI products for. 2) Are we creating social problems with AI 3) Will AI replacing jobs create political instabilities, can social outrage be a speedbump to future AI developments
Sounds like a good time for governments to start regulating this and breaking up big tech. I do not see the utility in AI replacing so much work, high level tasks are not going to exponentially increase and thus the current future would appear to align closer to a dystopian future than some utopia. There is so much research around lack of productivity or work and mental illness, boredom, etc... that should steer us away from having the majority of the population unemployed.
Honest and friendly feedback, the last article was so good. I showed a few people because I was so impressed which is something I rarely do. I cringed a little at the headline here (scare tactics, rather than living with AI), especially when the content is pretty important. There are a few websites this month that started monetizing image creation. I would encourage you to explore what is happening and the direction that we are headed in more. Please keep up the good work.
Everyone knows that the 80% is easy and the last 20% is much harder.
AI can probably automate the 80% of a job but it would require a human to finish off the last 20%, in the "African fortune teller" image, you would want a human to fix it up a bit so it doesn't look like three images thrown together, or a software program would need an extra button or small changes made, you would need a person to understand and implement it.
This assumes all creative content (the data training the AI) has been created. Humans will still be the only ones able to create truely new and unique content.
What do you think about IT security/cybersecurity jobs and AI?
You misunderstand the BLS numbers. The 22% is *cumulative* projected growth from 2022-2030, not annual.
In a capitalist economy profit is king.
Labor is usually the largest line item on any company's financial statements.
CEOs who do not use AI to eliminate labor will find themselves out of a job.
Consumption by average people is 70% of U.S. GDP
When we reach a tipping point when there is more AI than human workers capitalism collapses.
What will be the socioeconomic fallout of this? Unknown. Chaos at first, riots, Dickensian poverty, Neo Luddites smashing machines.
Perhaps a UBI will be instituted. I don't expect it to be generous.